Trump vs Clinton: Election Scenario Analysis
Months after the UK’s vote to leave the EU (Brexit), prices in risk assets are still swaying from one Article 50 headline to the next. In the US, November 8 presents a similar risk management challenge to market participants because of the outcome of the long-awaited and heavily-contested US Presidential Election.
Not unlike Brexit, the market has once again predicted one outcome as more likely than the alternative, the question of how markets might react, and the subsequent resulting price changes if the unlikely prevails. Below, we present an example of estimates, as we did for Brexit, for either outcome of the vote:
|Asset Class||Clinton Wins||Trump Wins|
|US Bond Prices||-1%||2%|
Please contact Consulting or your Imagine representative for help with constructing your own scenario analysis.
The stresses described in this blog post illustrate one possible scenario and are intended to be used in general as guidance towards risk management of market events.
Managing the risks inherent in their positions, including holding sufficient margin, is absolutely essential for prime brokers. The key question is whether or not they are measuring risks and managing margin effectively and proactively.
This summary is based on research conducted between February and March 2021 with 20 banks looking at current trends and priorities for Prime Brokers in the Margin, Collateral and Data areas.
Zeal Asset Management selects TS Imagine for real-time portfolio and risk management for quantitative investment strategy
TS Imagine, a leader in trading, portfolio and risk management solutions for capital markets, has been selected by Zeal Asset Management, as the platform to run their quantitative investment strategy.